Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.599215 0.665201 0.736598 0.819778 0.914259 1.018508 1.142613
2025-08-17 0.481340 0.568614 0.670244 0.798094 0.955698 1.144991 1.391616
2025-08-24 0.428741 0.527200 0.647471 0.806690 1.014153 1.278394 1.645397
2025-08-31 0.384668 0.488257 0.619713 0.801063 1.048359 1.379117 1.864107
2025-09-07 0.353553 0.461109 0.602154 0.803841 1.090118 1.490102 2.106181
2025-09-14 0.322768 0.430718 0.576274 0.790917 1.106350 1.564271 2.301129
2025-09-21 0.297809 0.405642 0.554725 0.780785 1.123726 1.639526 2.504242
2025-09-28 0.270394 0.374682 0.521929 0.750549 1.106928 1.659573 2.619811
2025-10-05 0.260112 0.367272 0.522111 0.768892 1.165419 1.801850 2.953658
2025-10-12 0.249874 0.358973 0.520015 0.783016 1.217807 1.938791 3.295646
2025-10-19 0.238773 0.348458 0.513551 0.789265 1.257240 2.057249 3.619442
2025-10-26 0.228132 0.337831 0.505969 0.792733 1.291741 2.169947 3.946973
2025-11-02 0.218749 0.328794 0.500623 0.800083 1.334807 2.304865 4.342934
2025-11-09 0.204685 0.311472 0.480807 0.781298 1.329646 2.350357 4.565055
2025-11-16 0.197195 0.304201 0.476815 0.789370 1.373833 2.493974 5.015717
2025-11-23 0.187809 0.293204 0.465796 0.783927 1.391860 2.587808 5.371534
2025-11-30 0.180643 0.285429 0.459647 0.786629 1.425470 2.716429 5.827260
2025-12-07 0.171437 0.273665 0.445841 0.774031 1.427576 2.779372 6.137156
2025-12-14 0.163369 0.263393 0.433996 0.764153 1.434088 2.852165 6.483166
2025-12-21 0.152818 0.248282 0.412705 0.734672 1.397644 2.826667 6.574687
2025-12-28 0.150144 0.246792 0.415738 0.752557 1.461878 3.034178 7.315115
2026-01-04 0.146996 0.244268 0.416690 0.766328 1.518557 3.231291 8.066677
2026-01-11 0.142953 0.239910 0.413962 0.772420 1.558914 3.394628 8.755665